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| Week 6: Lancaster's Locks |
| Jimmy Lancaster |
| October 12, 2007 |
Lancaster, Upset and Under
This week I am looking at 4 games.
Tennessee +3 (buying a half): Both teams have awesome, underrated offensive lines, but Tennessee has a slightly more opportunistic defense, and I like inter-conference teams on the road. Also, Tampa is hurting in the secondary, with lingering injuries slowing Buchanon and Kelly. Conversely, DT Haynesworth went Friday for Tennessee, as did Brandon Jones, who might find some success against the ailing right side of Tampas secondary. Slight upset, but nothing radical. Buy a half to make sure though; the line movement has push tendency.
Rams +10: Yes, this is a major upset, and Im recommending the money line here too, but my pick will be with the points, +10. With or without McNair, this is one of those that could go either way. If St. Louis, which plays at Seattle next week (almost a certain in-division loss), can utilize their wide receivers to burn Baltimores pass defense, which is 7th worst in the league in TDs allowed, the Rams may pull it off. My fantasy sleeper this week is Drew Bennett, consequently. But if not, if could be a long day for Gus and winless St. Louis.
Minnesota +5: Tavaris Jackson will not be the issue. The issue will be Adrian Peterson and the Vikes OL being just enough better than Cedric Benson and the Bears OL to get them some stability and time of possession. This one may be more entertaining than the Pats/Cowboys, at least for the purists.
Miami Money Line: Yes, another money line upset possibility. I like Miami, with New England next week on their schedule, to work something out here and get their first win. Cleveland can win the St. Louis game after their bye.
Notes: The quarterback situations in Carolina and Arizona are of obvious concern for fantasy owners. With Carr not taking reps all week (Friday practice not concluded yet at press time), even if he does go, dont expect much. However, Carolina is well coached, and since they play host to Indy on Week 8 after their BYE, I think they will get creative, meaning DeAngelo Williams and Dwayne Jarrett. For Arizona, if Warner doesnt get hurt - and despite the trendy sleeper predictions, this is a big if- they should thrive statistically
.. The over/unders for this week are incredibly, even shadily low. I have never seen such low totals for an entire week in my life, perhaps evidence of the terrible injuries we have seen at the quarterback position in recent weeks (or maybe because the Lions, Colts, Steelers and Broncos, the latter noted for their terrible defense, are on BYE this week). But either way, if you thought last weeks fantasy scores were low, it will be interesting to see if this weeks bounce back
.. And finally, how cool and frustrating is it to have the chance to pick between your two defenses playing one another, in a crucial game against the doctor this week, and know that your choice may very well decide your game and ultimately your season? Minnesota or Chicago?.... Oh, and New England really hasnt been tested, but I think they will beat Dallas, despite not listing this as an official pick.
Last Week: 2-3
Season: 12-12-1
Last Weeks Fantasy Sleeper: Bobby Engram: 2 for 25, but nothing went right for Seattle last week.
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